It would have probably stood to reason that the Baltimore Orioles would have changed things up a bit against former starter Dean Kremer last night. But they couldn’t for the most part. Trevor Rogers turned in an uncharacteristically short start on top of that, and Oriole bats couldn’t muster much until late. Rogers’ line: 4.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 4 K.
Rogers, along with all Oriole pitchers, was tentative. As I’ve said many times, you don’t want to just throw the ball consistently right down Broadway. But you have to attack the strike zone. They don’t consistently do that, and they didn’t do it last night.
Rogers surrendered a solo home run to Martin in the third. One inning later however the Birds would actually tie the game in a fairly strange manner. With one out and runners at the corners, Tyler O’Neill struck out and Jackson Holliday was caught stealing on the base paths. However Craig Albernaz had apparently put on a double-steal, enabling Gunnar Henderson to in essence steal home plate.
However Rogers gave the lead right back. He hit the first batter of the fourth by a pitch, followed by a double by Lee – resulting in two runners in scoring position. Culpepper’s sac fly-RBI would give Minnesota the lead back at 2-1.
When you’re trying to pitch exclusively on the fringes, that will sometimes happen. In fact, Rogers hit another batter before the inning ended. Sometimes pitches get away from someone. It happens. However when you aren’t allowing a pitcher to attack the strike zone and instead consistently and tentatively pitching to the fringes of the plate, you run the risk of a pitch getting away.
Minnesota recorded two infield hits to lead off the seventh. One was in no man’s land, and Jackson Holliday didn’t have time to make the throw to first. The second was a soft bunt, compounded by a throwing error which put two runners in scoring position. When you pitch to the fringes, fringe things can happen. Jeffers’ two-run single gave Minnesota a 4-1 lead.
Later in the inning Bell’s three-run home run extended the lead to 7-1. The O’s would rally just a bit, with Coby Mayo smacking an RBI-double and Christian Encarnacion-Strand an RBI-groundout in the eighth. However Minnesota didn’t call off the dogs; they added two more in the bottom of the inning before Coby Mayo’s two-RBI double in the ninth. All in all, the Birds dropped this one 9-5.
Kremer pitched outstanding against his former team. This would be one reason you don’t help out someone with whom you’re competing directly for a postseason spot. Especially when you’re playing them in short order.
The Orioles slowly began going into a swoon in mid-June, 2024. They were never the same after that. Something changed; is it approach? Effort? Maybe even luck? Tough to say.
However as I alluded above, the Orioles cannot change their game plan. They always attack the fringes of the plate. Dean Kremer, because he was forced to do this also, knows that. If there were ever a time to maybe change up your approach, it would be against a guy who was part of said approach until a couple of weeks ago.
But whomever calls the shots in game wasn’t about to let that happen. Again, since June of 2024, the Orioles the O’s have been very rigid in how they’ve approached games from a pitching perspective. Kremer knows this. He also knows the machine won’t allow anything to change it. So he was Minnesota’s “advance scout” for this series. Minnesota hitters infernally refused to swing at anything that wasn’t right over the plate. And it worked.
And the fact that a pitcher like Kremer was able to go to a different team and throw seven innings of one-hit ball against his former team is equally incriminating. He knew that the Orioles aim only for launch angle and exit velocity. And he used that to his advantage.
Since June of 2024, the team has been managed very rigidly. This over three different managers (one of whom was an interim manager). You can’t win games on a spreadsheet. You win them on the field. It’s no mystery what the Orioles are doing. The word got out in June of 2024. And the results since then show that.
The series continues this evening at Target Field. Brandon Young gets the start for the O’s, and he’ll be opposed by Minnesota’s Bailey Ober. Game time is set for 7:40 PM.
